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Published July 2021

Investing in Belfast’s Future: A Real Estate Research Report

Office market

A resilient market

Rapid7

Rapid7 is committed to investing in the company’s global expansion, particularly in areas with impressive technical talent such as Belfast. Causeway Asset Management understood our vision and expansion goals and truly partnered with us to develop the right solution for our future success in Belfast.
 

Jamie Kinch
Vice President of Real Estate & Workplace Experience

The growth of our Belfast office has been a remarkable success story which would not have been possible without the exceptional pool of talent here from both legal and business backgrounds, which has allowed us to create highly skilled and specialised opportunities in Northern Ireland.

 

James Richards
Executive Director

 

This move underlines the PwC Executive Board’s confidence in Northern Ireland as a location and the success of the firm here. We will continue to grow in local, national and international markets from Belfast, drawing on the technology skills emerging from our schools, universities and colleges.

Paul Terrington
Northern Ireland Chair and Head of UK Regions

  • Prime rents £23 psf
  • Availability 763,00 square feet
  • Take-up in 2020 140,911 square feet
  • Five-year average take-up 482,322 square feet

Office market in Belfast

  • Demand supported by a range of occupiers
  • Belfast take-up 2019 versus five-year average

Professional services

  • 37 per cent
  • Five-year average 22 per cent
  • Deloitte
  • PwC
  • MTB

Creative industries

  • 32 per cent
  • Five-year average 20 per cent
  • RAPID7
  • Neueda
  • proofpoint

Business services

  • 17 per cent
  • Five-year average 16 per cent
  • VENYOU
  • MEARS
  • SIGNIFY

Notable office deals in Belfast

Merchant Square
Size: 200,000 sq ft
Practical completion: 2020
Occupier: PwC

Erskine House

Size: 100,000 sq ft
Practical completion: 2019
Occupier: HMRC

The Ewart

Size: 209,000 sq ft
Practical completion: 2021
Occupier: Part let to Deloitte (80,000 sq ft)

Allstate HQ, East Bridge Street

Size: 138,225 sg ft
Practical completion: 2018
Occupier: Allstate Investment


Overview of office market

The Belfast office market has been the city’s strongest-performing sector in both take-up and investment since 2015. Five-year annual office take-up average stands at 482,322 sq ft, remarkable given that the 2011 to 2015 five-year average equated to 319,000 sq ft. Rising by almost 200,000 sq ft per year is no mean feat and is testament to the occupational market Belfast has, with modern stock and low overheads attractive to both occupiers and investors. Office take-up has over the past few years gathered momentum, with notable deals including PwC taking over 200,000 sq ft at Merchant Square, the Department of Finance taking 149,000 sq ft at 9 Lanyon Place and HMRC taking over 100,000 sq ft at Erskine House.

The public sector was historically the largest occupier in the office market. However this situation has significantly reduced over the years with a huge rise in the tech, creative and professional service industries resulting in many global organisations calling Belfast their home.

Developments

In recent years, over 670,000 sq ft of office stock has been developed, and Belfast city centre has some of the most modern, Grade A office buildings in the UK. Although speculative development has been limited over the last five years, most schemes have been fully leased by practical completion. Recent completed developments include City Quays 2, River House, The Laser, Merchant Square and The Weaving Works.

Notable office developments in Belfast

The Weaving Works

Completed: 2017
Developer: Karl Group
Size: 30,528 sq ft

River House

Completed: 2018
Developer: Castleforge Partners
Size: 78,000 sq ft

City Quays 2

Completed: 2017
Developer: Belfast Harbour
Size: 80,000 sq ft

Merchant Square

City Quays 2
Completed: 2017
Developer: Belfast Harbour
Size: 80,000 sq ft


Office market prime rents

The current rise in prime rents is forecast to continue. Grade A rents for Belfast equated to £23.00 per sq ft, up some 43 per cent since 2015. This rapid rise in rental values is extremely attractive to investors. However, at just £23 psf for city centre Grade A space, Belfast represents one of the few major cities in the UK with modern office stock at relatively low prices.

Investment

Since 2015, deals worth more than £343.5million have been concluded, most notably Citibank purchasing The Gateway for £34million and The Metro Building for £21.8million, Obel 68 selling for £15.2million in August 2018 and James House selling for £16million in March 2019. Merchant Square sold in March 2021 for £87million, the largest office investment ever sold in Northern Ireland and reflecting an initial yield of 5.20 per cent.

Looking forward

Encouragingly, live requirements for space in Belfast continue as occupiers seek the benefit of the Belfast office market fundamentals. These requirements, if fulfilled, would equate to some 1.4m sq ft. It should be noted that as of March 2021, there is only 1.19m sq ft of available office space but a further 723.629 sq ft of office development due for completion by the end of the year will help to satisfy demand.

Belfast has another 2.7m sq ft of identified office developments which have obtained planning permission and could start in the medium term. The development pipeline offers a great opportunity for investors to secure best-in-class schemes over the next five years and build critical mass within the market. With yields reflecting around 5.75 per cent, office investments in Northern Ireland look well-priced compared to other UK and European cities.

Notable Belfast office investments

Address Tenants Square feet Date sold Purchaser Price
Merchant Square PwC 240,204 March 2021 International £87,000,000
Victoria House, 15-27
Gloucester Street
various 58,254 November 2019 Private investor £12,500,000
The Gateway Offices CitiBank NA 133,205 April 2019 International £34,350,000
James House, Gasworks Department of Finance 111,488 March 2019 Government £16,000,000
Metro Building, 6-9
Donegall Square
Capita, Yell 69,611 September 2018 Private investor £21,800,000
Obel 68 Allen & Overy 52,169 August 2018 Harbour Commissioners £15,200,000
Ulster Bank, Shaftesbury
Square
The Royal Bank of
Scotland Plc
35,631 April 2016 Private investor £9,890,000
Capital House, Wellington
Place, Upper Queen Street
Northern Ireland Water,
Diageo, Capita and Steria
72,083 January 2016 Republic of Ireland investor £11,050,000
The Soloist Building,
Lanyon Place
Pinsent Masons 88,000 December 2015 UK investor £14,500,000
Clare House, 303 Airport
Road West
Department of Finance 66,210 March 2015 Government £8,000,000
Causeway Exchange, 1-7
Bedford Street, Belfast
Department of Finance 71,554 February 2015 Government £12,150,000

Demand for new space increasing development activity

Notable developments

City Quays 3
Completed: Quarter 4 2021
Developer: Belfast Harbour
Size: 260,000 sq ft

The Ewart
Completed: Quarter 4 2021
Developer: MRP
Size: 209,000 sq ft

Olympic House
Quarter 4 2021
Developer: Titanic Quarter and
Belfast Harbour
Size: 146,746 sq ft

The Paper Exchange
Completed: Quarter 1 2022
Developer: Wirefox
Size: 156,000 sq ft


Thought piece: The growth of tech

It is estimated that around 60,000 people are employed by technology companies in Belfast, making it one of the leading cities in Europe for new software development. The wider Northern Ireland tech ecosystem can lay claim to over 1,200 companies, ranging from large multi-nationals to small start-ups. It is home to global businesses in financial software, data analytics and encryption, access control systems, and intelligent surveillance technologies with occupiers such as Concentrix, Rapid7, Neueda and Proofpoint all taking new office space in recent years.

Supporting all these businesses is a strong network of regional and UK government investment programmes and world-class academic institutions. Queen’s University Belfast is globally-renowned for its Centre for Secure Information Technologies (CSIT), an innovation and knowledge centre for cybersecurity and the largest of its kind in the UK, with BAE Systems, Infosys, IBM and Thales among its partners. Belfast is the world’s number one destination for US-based cybertech investment and is fast becoming a global cybersecurity hub. This sector employs over 1,200 people. With a pipeline of talent, pioneering research and innovation and secure and resilient infrastructure, it will be one of the world’s leading cyber economies by 2026.

These tech companies have excellent reasons to be based in Belfast. Not only does it represent competitive value for money, but  it is one of the most technologically advanced cities in the UK. Belfast has invested heavily in infrastructure that supports tech companies.

Add to this an exceptionally talented, young and highly-educated workforce, and it becomes apparent why the business start-up survival rate in the city is 55.3 per cent one of the highest in Europe. Belfast has in place all the elements needed to grow and nurture a thriving tech community.

Both Queen’s University Belfast and Ulster University are investing heavily in electronics, computer sciences and cybersecurity. The region is expanding its economic development efforts, with the Northern Ireland Executive publishing its New Decade, New Approach agreement, which included a call to promote the region as a global cybersecurity hub.

The £1billion Belfast Region City Deal will also play a substantial part in growing the tech sector even further.

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